Virginia Wild Card: Turnout Among Black Voters
Posted By: gaboy, 11/3/2025 1:39:05 AM
The conventional wisdom among most election analysts is that the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial contest between Republican Winsome Earle-Sears and Democrat Abigail Spanberger will be won by the latter. This consensus is primarily based on a series of polls that purport to show her ahead by comfortable margins. All such surveys, however, necessarily incorporate certain assumptions (snip) If those assumptions are inaccurate, pollsters can end up wiping a lot of egg yolk off their faces. In the Old Dominion, 45 days of early voting has produced a record-breaking turnout — except in localities where most of the electorate consists of black voters.
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The conventional wisdom among most election analysts is that the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial contest between Republican Winsome Earle-Sears and Democrat Abigail Spanberger will be won by the latter. This consensus is primarily based on a series of polls that purport to show her ahead by comfortable margins. All such surveys, however, necessarily incorporate certain assumptions (snip) If those assumptions are inaccurate, pollsters can end up wiping a lot of egg yolk off their faces. In the Old Dominion, 45 days of early voting has produced a record-breaking turnout — except in localities where most of the electorate consists of black voters.
The ground beneath Democrats' feet is starting to shift.
A government shutdown is not a strategy that works absent the media. The whole point of the exercise is to do something dramatic in order to bring attention and raise awareness of some particular issue. In this case, Democrats decided their issue would be health care. They would shut down the government to make demand Republicans extend Obamacare subsidies that are set to expire at the end of this year.
For the past few weeks, that strategy has worked pretty well for Democrats for two reasons. First, the shutdown didn't really have much impact right away, especially because President Trump worked to ensure
Government shutdowns are always and everywhere about using government spending —or, really, the restriction of government spending —as political leverage. Sometimes they are used effectively, and sometimes not, but the goal is to impose pain on your negotiating partner and break their will. (Snip)Since politicians are careful to avoid feeling any of the pain directly—they consider themselves essential employees and keep the money flowing into their own pockets—the pain has to be inflicted on others, with the hope that the victims can implore their legislators to give in to demands.
Is John Fetterman Running For President?
15 replies
It is by now blindingly obvious to any rational observer of American politics that the Democratic Party is circling the drain. Depending on which poll you believe, its favorability rating among U.S. adults is somewhere between 23 percent (CNBC) and 34 percent (CBS). Nor is it difficult to divine what has led to this dismal state of affairs — the party has lurched so far to the left that most of its iconic leaders would be regarded as too conservative to win the Democratic presidential nomination.
The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) defied the advice of its own drug safety experts to warn pregnant women about Tylenol for nearly a decade, internal reports and presentations obtained by the Daily Caller News Foundation reveal.
FDA rank-and-file scientists repeatedly recommended the agency release information about Tylenol in pregnancy across three scientific reviews conducted in 2016, 2019, 2022 and two memos, one from the FDA’s maternal health division in 2016 and one from the FDA’s urological health division in 2017.
Muslims are blasting Zohran Mamdani’s association with controversial Imam Siraj Wahhaj, warning that legitimizing the former terror suspect could fuel radical extremism.
“I am particularly concerned to see mosques used as political rallying platforms in the free and democratic United States,” said Dalia Ziada, a Muslim scholar and fellow at the Institute for the Study of Global Antisemitism and Policy.
“By embracing Wahhaj, Zohran Mamdani is sidelining moderate Muslims and normalizing an extremist ideology that once inspired terror on American soil and still fuels radicalization within segments of the Muslim community today,” she told Fox News.
This is going to be the question for the next who knows how long.
Not 'will Zelensky ever talk Trump into giving him the big guns'...nope.
Not 'will there ever be an agreement Hamas wasn't already planning to break when they agreed'...nope.
Not 'does anyone give a rip about anything the WNBA does or its players'...nope.
NOPE
The unanswerable question on everyone's minds is 'how long can new CBS News editor-in-chief Bari Weiss continue to cruelly torture the news division staff at the network before they collapse from the sheer angst and unending mental abuse?'
That's THE question.
Oh, yeah. What honest, devoted progressive
The Ridiculous No Kings Protest
16 replies
It’s difficult to think of a more effective way to illustrate the moral and intellectual emptiness of the American left than to have them march around demanding an end to an institution our founding fathers abolished 250 years ago. This is how the official “No Kings” website described what happened on Saturday: “On October 18, more than seven million of us rose up at more than 2,700 events in all 50 states, DC, and cities worldwide to say: America has no kings, and the power belongs to the people.” These folks are a little late to the party.
Mikie Sherrill keeps changing her story
about Naval Academy cheating scandal:
‘I don’t buy it’ 9 replies
about Naval Academy cheating scandal:
‘I don’t buy it’ 9 replies
Mikie Sherrill can’t keep her story straight.
The New Jersey Democratic gubernatorial nominee keeps changing her account of her involvement in an infamous 1990s US Naval Academy cheating scandal — and alumni don’t believe her latest explanation.
“I don’t buy it, and I’m kind of speaking on behalf of actually a lot of classmates that reached out to me,” Brent Sadler, who graduated from the academy in 1994, the same class as Sherrill, and serves as a senior research fellow at the Heritage Foundation, told The Post.Sherrill last month confirmed she didn’t walk during her class’s commencement and claimed she was penalized because she “didn’t turn in some of my classmates.”
Trump Proved ‘Experts’ Wrong About Tariffs
13 replies
Last April, Paul Krugman wrote the following about the reciprocal tariffs President Trump had just announced: “This is a much bigger shock to the economy than the infamous Smoot-Hawley tariff of 1930.” Krugman trotted out that trite analogy not because he really believed Trump’s tariffs were comparable to Smoot-Hawley, but because he knew his Substack subscribers would vaguely recall reading about the latter in high school and feel intelligent. Six months later it’s blindingly obvious that Trump was right about the tariffs and Krugman’s portentous predictions were utterly moronic.
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer is getting blasted for admitting Democrats are playing political games with the government shutdown with no regard for the pain it’s inflicting on the American people.In an interview with Punchbowl News, the Democrat leader “was as bullish as he’s ever been about his shutdown strategy,” telling the outlet “every day gets better for us.”
Trump officials and Republican lawmakers slammed Schumer for what they said was a "disgusting and revealing statement."
The list is staggering, really. And one need not go back to January to compile a collection of the most anti-democratic behavior and positions possible, all to save muh democracy. I can fill out this column with stuff just since Friday.
In June of this year, The United States Supreme Court issued a 6-3 decision in Mahmoud V. Taylor, in favor of parents objecting to sexually explicit LGBT material being used in school on religious exemption grounds. The case overturned the decision against both the rights of parents and the 1st Amendment's freedom to practice religion by a district court judge nominated early in Joe Biden's term.
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WASHINGTON — Democrats are bracing for the possible retirement of Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi, one of the party’s most powerful, popular and effective leaders, who served as chief antagonist to President Donald Trump during his first term and has quietly counseled Democrats as they take on Trump in his second term.
She is expected to make an announcement about her future after Tuesday’s elections, when voters will consider a ballot measure, known as “Proposition 50,” that would redraw the state’s congressional lines. Pelosi is a prominent proponent of the plan, which Democrats hope would net them several seats in next year’s midterm elections.
Monday on CNN’s “The Lead,” Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) called President Donald Trump “the worst thing on the face of the Earth.”
Pelosi said, “He’s just a vile creature. The worst thing on the face of the Earth. But anyway.”
Reporter Elex Michaelson asked, “You think he‘s the worst thing on the face of the Earth?”
Peklosi said, “I do, yeah. I do.”
Michaelson said, “Why is that?”
Pelosi said, “Because he‘s the president of the United States, and he does not honor the Constitution of the United States. In fact, he’s turned the Supreme Court into a rogue court. He’s abolished the House
Dick Cheney Has Died
27 replies
Former US Vice President Dick Cheney who was a leading advocate for the invasion of Iraq has died at the age of 84, his family has said. The hard-charging conservative passed away last night due to complications of pneumonia and cardiac and vascular disease. Cheney served alongside Republican President George W Bush for two terms between 2001 and 2009. He was the chief architect of the 'war on terror' and was in office on the morning of 9/11.
The federal food stamp program will pay out partial benefits to millions of Americans despite running out of regular funding at the start of this month due to the ongoing government shutdown, the Trump administration confirmed in court documents Monday.
The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) will receive about 50% of its normal benefit level throughout November, using a contingency fund set aside for natural disasters and other emergencies.
The announcement by the White House follows a pair of Friday rulings by federal judges in Boston and Providence, RI
Dick Cheney, who died on Monday, was one of the most prominent and polarizing Republican vice presidents in history -- and in recent years a blunt-spoken critic of Donald Trump.
Dick Cheney and his daughter, former Republican Rep. Liz Cheney, voiced their opposition to Trump after his push to deny the 2020 election results and the pro-Trump mob attack on the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021.
In 2024, Dick Cheney and Liz Cheney endorsed Democrat Kamala Harris over Trump. "In our nation’s 248-year history, there has never been an individual who is a greater threat to our republic than Donald Trump. He tried to steal the last election using lies
The Vatican’s doctrinal office said Tuesday the titles of “Co-Redemptrix” and “Mediatrix” are not appropriate ways to describe Mary’s participation in salvation.
In “Mater Populi Fidelis” (“The Mother of the Faithful People of God”), the Dicastery for the Doctrine of the Faith (DDF) said when an expression requires frequent explanation to maintain the correct meaning, it becomes unhelpful.
“In this case, the expression ‘Co-redemptrix’ does not help extol Mary as the first and foremost collaborator in the work of Redemption and grace, for it carries the risk of eclipsing the exclusive role of Jesus Christ,” according to the doctrinal note, released Nov. 4.
Federal prosecutors have announced the indictment and arrest of 20 individuals, most of them sworn law enforcement officers, in the Mississippi Delta region for allegedly conspiring with Mexican drug cartels to smuggle narcotics into the United States. U.S. Attorney Clay Joyner for the Northern District of Mississippi made the announcement at a press conference on Thursday.[snip] The announcement detailed the results of a years-long federal investigation and sting operation in the Mississippi Delta region, resulting in the indictment and arrest of 20 individuals, including 14 current or former law enforcement officers and six co-conspirators.
The Schumer Shutdown has been going on for more than a month now.
It started on October 1, and the Senate won't even be able to have another vote on it until Tuesday at the earliest.
The extended shutdown is raising concerns, particularly about funding for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) and how it may be impacting air travel. Fox News Channel's Maria Bartiromo asked Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) on Sunday if he thought the government would open this week, as the shutdown was "seriously impacting the U.S. economy." Cruz had an intelligent take on when it might be over, and why.
The White House offered no public condolences Tuesday on the death of former Vice President Dick Cheney — saying flags were lowered to half-staff at the executive mansion because the law requires it.
President Trump has repeatedly attacked Cheney, who died Monday at age 84, as a “warmonger” and sparred with his daughter, former Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) who served as the top Republican on the House select committee that investigated Trump’s role in the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol riot.
Both Dick and Liz Cheney endorsed then-Vice President Kamala Harris in last year’s election, with the former VP saying Trump was the greatest threat to the country since its founding.
Presler: Voting Machines Down in Three
Red Districts of New Jersey as Election
Day Heats Up 15 replies
Red Districts of New Jersey as Election
Day Heats Up 15 replies
Voting machines went down in three districts of New Jersey early Tuesday, which is Election Day, according to Early Vote Action’s Scott Presler.
Just before 8:00 a.m., Presler reported via X that three red districts in Cumberland County saw their machines go down.
“In 3 RED districts in Cumberland County, NJ, the machines are down. On the phone w/ legal right now,” he wrote: Other conservatives on the social media platform highlighted the news and urged people not to skip out on voting.
“Election machines have gone down in multiple locations across CUMBERLAND COUNTY, NJ – where Republicans are outperforming their 2024 turnout by double digits, Scott Presler says. Isn’t that suspicious.
Terrifying surveillance video shows the moment the UK mass train stabbing suspect stormed into a barbershop armed with a huge knife — just one day before he allegedly carried out his bloody rampage on a London-bound train.
Anthony Williams, 32, was caught on camera pacing outside the barbershop Friday night soon after he allegedly knifed a 14-year-old boy in a separate attack, the Sun reported.
The maniac could be seen whipping out the huge blade and barging into the shop as employees and customers scrambled out of the way just before 7:30 p.m.
It wasn’t immediately clear if anyone was injured in the ordeal.
Bill Gates should wear a “Trump was right about everything” hat to next month’s COP30 climate talks in Brazil as a sort of scarlet letter after his backflip on climate change.
“Climate change is not the biggest threat to the lives and livelihoods of people in poor countries, and it won’t be in the future,” is the billionaire climate activist’s new line.
Gates finally got to the right answer but not before doing immense damage as one of the most influential and well-heeled backers of a global scam to hijack science and scare the bejeesus out of a generation.