Are Trump’s Polls Understating His Lead?
Posted By: Garnet, 5/6/2024 9:44:27 AM
During the two months since President Biden delivered his State of the Union address, a wide variety of legacy news outlets have been at pains to portray an infinitesimal improvement in his polling as a shift of momentum in the presidential race. Last week, for example, USA Today breathlessly reported that “Trump and Biden are ‘darn near even’ in the 2024 election.” If this was meant to provide moral sustenance for worried Democrats it was thin gruel indeed. Biden is an incumbent president struggling to keep up with a challenger most of whose time and money has been devoted to fighting off a ruthless lawfare campaign.
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According to a Washington Post-Ipsos poll, black voters’ desire to vote in the 2024 general election has fallen off since 2020, which could be worrisome for President Joe Biden.
The poll found that 62% of black voters said they were “absolutely certain to vote,” which is down from 74% who said they were certain to vote in June 2020. The Biden campaign recently announced it would spend $25 million trying to reach key demographics of voters in battleground states in what some have called “the largest and earliest investment in Black media for a reelection campaign in history.”
Are Trump’s Polls Understating His Lead?
4 replies
During the two months since President Biden delivered his State of the Union address, a wide variety of legacy news outlets have been at pains to portray an infinitesimal improvement in his polling as a shift of momentum in the presidential race. Last week, for example, USA Today breathlessly reported that “Trump and Biden are ‘darn near even’ in the 2024 election.” If this was meant to provide moral sustenance for worried Democrats it was thin gruel indeed. Biden is an incumbent president struggling to keep up with a challenger most of whose time and money has been devoted to fighting off a ruthless lawfare campaign.
Hala Rharrit, a career diplomat, handed in her resignation over the Biden administration's policy in the Israel-Hamas war.
Rharrit has an 18-year career as a U.S. diplomat. She is an Arabic language spokesperson described as one of the most recognized faces of American diplomacy for Arab media. She is opposed to what she called Biden's unwavering support for Israel. She said others in the State Department are afraid to speak out with their views publicly.
For the past three years, the corporate press and numerous officials in the Biden White House have asserted there is no evidence widespread voter fraud occurred during the 2020 presidential election. Some have even gone so far as to call it the “most secure” election in U.S. history.
However, a poll conducted by Rasmussen Reports — a survey I wrote with a team of experts at the Heartland Institute and discussed last week on Tucker Carlson’s show — not only calls into question that often-repeated claim, it shows the opposite could have been true. According to its findings, voter fraud, especially fraud related to mail-in ballots,
Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg wasn’t formally involved in last Thursday’s Supreme Court hearing in Trump v. United States, yet his transparently politicized prosecution of the former president provided a poignant subtext for the oral arguments. The hearing concerned Special Counsel Jack Smith’s claim that ex-presidents enjoy no immunity from prosecution for crimes allegedly committed while in office. It could hardly have been lost on the justices that, as oral arguments proceeded, Trump was cooped up in a New York courtroom while Bragg’s prosecutors accused him of offenses that legal experts of all political stripes have pronounced legally unintelligible
Why SCOTUS Will Toss 350 J6 Convictions
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It’s unlikely that many Americans sat down with a second cup of coffee and listened to last Tuesday’s oral arguments before the Supreme Court in Fischer v. United States. Nonetheless, it was an edifying tutorial on how the Department of Justice abused a federal law in order to charge J6 rioters with a serious felony. The statute is part of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, passed in 2022 to prevent corporations from tampering with evidence to obstruct congressional inquiries or other official proceedings. For 19 years, the law was used only for that purpose. Then, in 2021, the DOJ redefined “official proceedings.”
The Biden administration has granted Iran’s foreign minister a U.S. visa so that he can attend upcoming United Nations proceedings in New York City, generating outrage in the wake of Tehran’s weekend strike on Israel.Lawmakers are already calling on the Biden administration to revoke Iranian foreign minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian’s entry visa into America, which will enable him to attend U.N. meetings later this week, the Washington Free Beacon has learned. While the State Department would not confirm whether it had granted the Iranian diplomat an entry visa, regional outlets are reporting that a U.S. entry visa has already been issued.
Sen. James Lankford (R., Okla.), in a letter
Trump Owns the Working Class Vote
9 replies
During the past several election cycles, political pundits have devoted a lot of attention to the “diploma divide.” Much of this commentary has focused on the advantage Democrats enjoy among voters who tell pollsters they possess college degrees. It isn’t difficult to see why this topic has received so much scrutiny. The commentariat is dominated by college graduates who overwhelmingly support the Democratic Party. This also explains why so much of the self-congratulatory writing about the diploma divide tends to overlook its most consequential characteristic — that working class voters without college degrees far outnumber their “highly educated” counterparts.
The Greedflation Canard
4 replies
The Bureau of Labor Statistics recently reported that the Consumer Price Index rose in February for the second consecutive month, debunking happy talk by the White House and the corporate media to the effect that inflation is under control. The cumulative increase in the overall cost of living since President Biden took office in has now reached 18 percent (snip). This is why the RealClearPolitics average shows that 61.7 percent of voters disapprove of Biden’s performance on this issue. This level of disapprobation is related to his stubborn refusal to take any responsibility for causing inflation in the first place.
During the past several months the corporate media have devoted a lot of coverage to a species of voter they describe as “double haters.” This pejorative label notwithstanding, such voters are neither unique to the current election cycle nor particularly hateful. It’s probably more accurate to call them double dissenters. They disapprove of the presumptive presidential nominees offered by the two major political parties and decline to choose the “lesser of two evils.” Some may sit out 2024 and others may vote for an independent like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. This has earned them the derision of a pundit class.
Los Angeles County has a credible and viable district attorney's race going, and it may be their salvation. Incumbent district attorney George Gascón could not even reach 30 percent of the vote on March 5, and the level of disgust with him among Angeleans only continues to rise.Gascón's challenger, former federal prosecutor and assistant U.S. District Attorney Nathan Hochman achieved just shy of 16 percent of the vote, but it is enough to be the top two vote-getter and included on the general election ballot.
There’s been a lot of wishful reporting about the political fortunes and reelection hopes of President Joe Biden. Look at some of the headlines: “Biden gains on Trump in 6 battleground states.” “Biden-Trump rematch tightens.” “Biden’s polling is improving.” And more. A recent modest uptick in Biden’s polls, which may or may not signal the start of a real change in the presidential race, has excited many commentators.
But remember a fundamental problem for Biden. Most voters do not approve of the job he is doing as president, and they have not approved of it for the last three years. If that does not change by Nov. 5,
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The use of phrases such as “pregnant people” or “penis owners” in cultural or political discourse is sometimes met with confusion, or even anger.
Why use these terms when, as some people ask, “only women can get pregnant” or when “only men have penises?”
Those people and institutions using gender-neutral language aim to be cognizant of the fact that sex doesn’t always align with gender identity, said psychiatrist Dr. Jack Drescher, past president of the Group for Advancement of Psychiatry and clinical professor of psychiatry at Columbia University in New York City. And it’s the most inclusive, streamlined way to refer to everyone who, regardless of their gender identity,
Anti-Israel student protester cries over
missing graduation after she was arrested, suspended 34 replies
missing graduation after she was arrested, suspended 34 replies
An Arizona State University senior who was arrested and suspended after trespassing during an anti-Israel protest broke down in tears over missing graduation as a consequence of her actions.
“I’m being restricted from a lot of things right now that I didn’t expect to be for standing up for something I believe in,” Breanna Brocker told ABC15 as she choked up.
“You know I have family coming in who I have to let them know not come to my graduation ceremonies.”
She tearfully added: “I’m just disappointed. I’m a 2020 high school grad, so I wasn’t able to walk then.
Former Georgia Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan (R) revealed that he was going to support a “decent person” like President Joe Biden in the upcoming 2024 presidential election over a “criminal defendant without a moral compass.”
In an op-ed written in the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, Duncan criticized Republicans who “fall in line” behind former President Donald Trump, labeling it as “disappointing” and arguing that those who decide to support Trump as the Republican presidential nominee are “dead wrong” in that mentality. It’s disappointing to watch an increasing number of Republicans fall in line behind former president Donald Trump,” Duncan began,
ICYMI: World’s Largest Floating Solar
Power Plant Wrecked by Storm Just Before
Grand Launch (VIDEO) 33 replies
Power Plant Wrecked by Storm Just Before
Grand Launch (VIDEO) 33 replies
The world’s largest floating solar power plant, located at Omkareshwar Dam in Madhya Pradesh, India, was obliterated by a storm on April 9, 2024. , just days before its scheduled grand inauguration.
The ambitious project faced the wrath of nature as strong winds reaching speeds of up to approximately 31 miles per hour tore through the installation, uprooting and severely damaging the high-tech solar panels that floated on the backwater of the dam.
Pro-Hamas student protesters at George Washington University are now openly calling for the beheading of the school president and members of the board of trustees.
They allowed this situation to go on for too long and now it’s completely out of control.
As you’ll see in the video below, these students are actually chanting ‘Guillotine, Guillotine!’
NBC 15 News reports: GW president says school needs help from DC police as protesters call for beheadings The president of George Washington University said late Sunday night her school needs the help of local police to restore law and order as
Former Special Prosecutor Nathan Wade said Sunday that his extramarital affair with Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis was “as American as apple pie.”
Wade told ABC News that “workplace romances” like his relationship with Willis “happens to everyone” in his first interview since his resignation from working on the Georgia election interference case against presumptive 2024 Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump in March. “Workplace romances are as American as apple pie,” Wade told ABC News’ Linsey Davis. “It happens to everyone."
Rising Number of Men Don't Want to Work
29 replies
American men are opting out of the workforce at unforeseen rates. For many, it's not an issue of not being able to find a job. They have simply opted out altogether. The Bureau of Labor Statistics found only 89 percent of working age men have a job or are actively looking for work. In 1950, that number was at 97 percent. While the early 1950s saw around 96 percent of working age American men between the ages of 25 and 54 working full or part-time jobs, that proportion has now moved to just 86 percent, according to the Bureau of
Crooked far left Judge Juan Merchan threatened President Trump on Monday with contempt of court violations.
Merchan also threatened to throw President Trump in prison.
Merchan also threatened President Trump’s team with contempt of court for speaking out publicly in his defense.
Democrats hate when conservatives and Trump supporters refute their lies and push back against their lawfare attacks.(Photo, X) Crooked Judge Merchan still has not allowed the defense team to know the witnesses that will be called before the court.
The far left judge told Trump he has until 2:15 PM today to take down posts on Truth Social.
Stormy Daniels has taken the stand in Donald Trump’s hush money trial in a bombshell moment.
The porn star will testify about the $130,000 she received to keep quiet about her alleged affair with the former president.
The 77-year-old defendant has denied all claims he had a sexual relationship with Daniels. It is a huge juncture in the trial that prosecutors believe could take another two weeks.
Judge Merchan ruled that Stormy will be able to testify about 'sexual acts' with Trump during her time on the stand. Prosecutor Susan Hoffinger told the judge that there would be 'no descriptions of genitalia or anything.'
'But it’s important to us to
Hochul slammed for saying black kids in
the Bronx don’t know what the word ‘computer’ means 26 replies
the Bronx don’t know what the word ‘computer’ means 26 replies
Bronx politicians are ripping Gov. Kathy Hochul after she asserted that some black children in the borough don’t know what the word “computer” means.
Hochul, speaking at an on-stage forum in California Monday, stuck her foot in her mouth while trying to explain how she wants to create a diverse workforce in new areas like artificial intelligence.
“Right now we have, you know, young black kids growing up in the Bronx who don’t even know what the word ‘computer’ is,” Gov. Kathy Hochul blabbered into a microphone Monday.
“They don’t know, they don’t know these things. And I want the world opened up to all of them,” she continued.
Former CNN host Chris Cuomo said in a recent news segment that he is suffering from a health condition after he received a COVID-19 vaccine.
Mr. Cuomo made the revelation during his NewsNation program when he was interviewing a nurse practitioner, Sean Barcavage, who was featured in a recent New York Times article about vaccine injuries.
“We know that vaccines can have unintended consequences, AKA side effects, but nobody’s really talking about it because they’re too afraid of blame, and they just want it to go away,” Mr. Cuomo said. “But the problem is people like Sean—and me—and millions of others who still have weird stuff with their bloodwork and their lives
Judas Iscariot was one of Jesus’s 12 Apostles.
In the Garden of Gethsemane the night before Jesus's crucifixion, Judas betrayed Jesus to the Sanhedrin who eventually arrested Jesus.
Jesus predicted this betrayal during the Last Supper. In exchange for his treachery, Judas received thirty pieces of silver. Could he have also been threatened? Who knows? The Bible says nothing about that.
Modern day betrayals, particularly of leaders, occur via carrot or stick, reward or kompromat.
For Judas, the price was a pocket of silver coins. For members of Congress, the price may be a do-nothing board seat, a cable news gig, or stock options worth millions.