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Shrinking America: the population will
soon decline by 50%

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Posted By: Big Bopper, 4/9/2026 4:04:16 PM

Mothers and fathers die. For the population to remain constant, the two of them need to produce about 2.1 children on average in order to replace themselves. (The extra 0.1 is necessary to offset the deaths of children who never reach reproductive age.) This figure is called the “fertility rate.” Recent data shows that the fertility rate in the United States is nowhere near that 2.1 figure. It has instead dropped to an all-time low of about 1.6. American woman on average give birth to only 1.6 children.

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Reply 1 - Posted by: Mcscow sailor 4/9/2026 4:50:53 PM (No. 2090889)
Population growth has stalled for several reasons. Conception, Cost Benefit, Marriages declining. But the statement on SS…I have long offered to take my Ss donations + 3% (inflation dontch know) in lieu of a monthly. Can’t. And the funds are not there, having supported those who did not contribute.
7 people like this.

Reply 2 - Posted by: stablemoney 4/9/2026 5:13:43 PM (No. 2090894)
Projections into an unknowable future are worthless. Who knows what parents and women are going to decide. But thanks for thinking up things for us to worry about. We would otherwise be quiet and enjoying the peace.
5 people like this.

Reply 3 - Posted by: bpl40 4/9/2026 5:23:03 PM (No. 2090896)
With whites and non-Muslims refraining we will have a country evenly divided between blacks and Muslims. Good luck!
4 people like this.

Reply 4 - Posted by: Catherine 4/9/2026 5:35:33 PM (No. 2090898)
I really don't see a downside to a shrinking population. No, didn't read the article but do have my own opinion about it.
2 people like this.

Reply 5 - Posted by: Big Bopper 4/9/2026 5:46:51 PM (No. 2090903)
Number 4: Why would anyone care what you think, if you don't bother to give reasons for those thoughts and didn't even bother to read the piece? We're not taking a survey here, we're having a discussion.
4 people like this.

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Shrinking America: the population will
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Posted by Big Bopper 4/9/2026 4:04:16 PM Post Reply
Mothers and fathers die. For the population to remain constant, the two of them need to produce about 2.1 children on average in order to replace themselves. (The extra 0.1 is necessary to offset the deaths of children who never reach reproductive age.) This figure is called the “fertility rate.” Recent data shows that the fertility rate in the United States is nowhere near that 2.1 figure. It has instead dropped to an all-time low of about 1.6. American woman on average give birth to only 1.6 children.
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