Why Republicans May Defy Midterm History
Posted By: gaboy, 8/3/2026 12:34:59 AM
As the midterms loom, the commentariat is confidently predicting that the Republican House majority is all but doomed. It is of course true that history does not portend a victorious outcome for the GOP. The president’s party almost always loses House seats in midterm elections. Yet history has been confounded more than once during the Trump era. There are factors at play this year that may save the GOP majority. The Republicans enjoy a 2-to-1 cash advantage over the Democrats (snip) and the same people who orchestrated President Trump’s historic 2024 victory are managing the party’s midterm strategy.
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Why Republicans May Defy Midterm History
9 replies
As the midterms loom, the commentariat is confidently predicting that the Republican House majority is all but doomed. It is of course true that history does not portend a victorious outcome for the GOP. The president’s party almost always loses House seats in midterm elections. Yet history has been confounded more than once during the Trump era. There are factors at play this year that may save the GOP majority. The Republicans enjoy a 2-to-1 cash advantage over the Democrats (snip) and the same people who orchestrated President Trump’s historic 2024 victory are managing the party’s midterm strategy.
In March of 2026 President Trump issued Executive Order 14399, “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” directing the U.S. Postal Service to create a rule whereby any state that intends to send mail-in ballots to voters must provide a list of those eligible to participate in federal elections or the USPS “shall not transmit” those ballots. The obvious goal of the EO is to keep ballots from reaching people who are not eligible to vote. This predictably produced several lawsuits. On Friday, however, the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals issued a temporary stay on the lower court injunction.
Carville’s Presidential History Lesson
14 replies
On Saturday former Clinton advisor James Carville took to YouTube and delivered what purported to be a “Presidential History Lesson.” It was a fairly typical Carvillian rant, yet quite revealing about how worried the Democratic establishment is about the damage the DSA insurgency is doing to their party. He begins his diatribe with the 2000 election and insists that every Democrat loss from then on was caused by leftist attacks on the centrist candidates the party nominated. Consequently, George W. Bush won in 2000 because Ralph Nader attacked Al Gore from the left.
Most of the left, including virtually every corporate media “journalist” who publishes news and opinion pieces about politics, hold the nation’s founding fathers in low regard. The public is daily subjected to screeds enumerating the faults of Washington, Jefferson, Madison, Hamilton, Franklin, et al. Yet, when these scribblers wish to justify some pernicious Democrat policy proposal, they frequently rummage through the writings of these men for some quote “proving” that its author would have supported the latest bone-headed boondoggle. A classic example is “Benjamin Franklin, Champion of the Wealth Tax,” by Harold Meyerson at the American Prospect.
In an ordinary midterm congressional election, the usual outcome is that the President’s party loses seats in the House of Representatives. If history repeats itself in November, the Democrats may well flip enough seats to overcome the razor thin Republican majority and take control of the House. But there is reason to believe that the GOP will defy history in the upcoming midterms because it won the 2025-2026 “redistricting war,” the struggle between red and blue states to gain an edge by engaging in mid-decade redrawing of their congressional districts.
Obama’s Hideous Monument to Hubris
16 replies
When the Democrats nominated Barack Obama to represent their party in the 2008 presidential election many voters consoled themselves with this thought: “Well, at least it’s not Hillary.” Unfortunately, preventing her from taking up residence in the White House was the last useful thing he did for the country. Indeed, from the moment he was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize during his first year in office—before he could possibly have done anything noteworthy—it became clear that there would be a huge gap between his actual accomplishments and the celebration of his presidency.
All year the corporate media has produced story after story telling us that Latino voters are suffering buyer’s remorse after voting for President Trump and Republicans in 2024. This, we are told, is due to the failure of the GOP to drive down prices and defeat inflation. This seems plausible, but California’s gubernatorial primary produced no evidence that it is actually true. Indeed, it appears that it was support from Latino voters that enabled Republican Steve Hilton to emerge as one of the top two finishers who will face off in the November general election.
Last Thursday, even as California’s chaotic primaries demonstrated the need for a nationwide election integrity law, Sens. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska), Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), Susan Collins (R-Maine), and Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) voted to kill the SAVE America Act. This would be understandable if the bill were unpopular with the electorate. But its requirement that voters in every state must provide proof of citizenship before registering to vote and produce a photo ID when casting a ballot are wildly popular among Republicans and Democrats. Yet, because its passage is one of President Trump’s top priorities, TDS forced them to ignore his agenda.
To get a sense of how bereft the Democrats are of genuine principles, a good place to start is their defense of Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner. This is the “oyster farmer” they hope can unseat five-term Republican Senator Susan Collins in November. And, in that cause, they are willing to overlook a lot of controversies surrounding Platner. Among these is the tattoo of a Totenkopf, the insignia of the Nazi SS, which he sported on his chest for 18 years. Yet, when Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) was asked about Platner on ABC News, he pivoted to President Trump.
One hardly has to be a political junkie to know that midterm elections rarely turn out well for the party that holds the White House. It has happened only once this century, when the Republicans picked up 8 House seats and one Senate seat during the first midterm election of George W. Bush’s presidency. There are two factors at play this year, however, which may allow the GOP to duplicate that feat. First, the leader of the Republican Party has built his political career on defying history. Second, the Democrats have recruited a very large number of truly weird candidates.
Kamala Harris’ Dangerous Brainstorm
19 replies
For a sense of how bereft the Democrats are of credible leaders and sensible policy ideas all one has to do is listen to the remarks of former Vice President Kamala Harris on the Win with Black Women podcast. She proposed a “no bad ideas brainstorm” in which Democrats would discuss “What we need to do, and think about doing, around the Electoral College … expanding the Supreme Court … statehood for Puerto Rico and D.C.” Harris, whom most polls of Democrat voters show as the front-runner for their party’s 2028 presidential nomination, said this as if offering fresh ideas.
The evening of April 21 there were a lot of smiles to be seen on the faces of Virginia Democrats. The voters of the Old Dominion had gone to the polls and approved an amendment to the Commonwealth’s constitution allowing a radically redistricted congressional map. No one was happier than Virginia’s new Democrat Governor, Abigail Spanberger, who had reversed her position on partisan gerrymandering to dramatically increase her party’s power in Congress. Like her Democrat accomplices (snip) she assumed that the challenges to the amendment under consideration by Virginia’s Supreme Court (SCOVA) would immediately collapse once “the people had spoken.”
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Here's what I wrote about this a few days back in a VIP article:
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Trump posted the message on TRUTH Social at 9:05 PM on Saturday. This president never sleeps.
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