Iran’s Nightmares

That's an uplifting read. Hanson always brings receipts (as the current saying goes). The conclusion is hardly surprising, but it's good to see Hanson's receipts. It does make one wonder what the game with Iran has been. And what the game with Russia/Ukraine is.

Khamenei, your next move? But careful what you wish for, bro.

7th century savages make crappy rocket scientists.

So we are sending Israel $14B to pay for them sending a warning to Iran? If you are going to shoot, shoot --- The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly.

Biden and Obama should ask for our money back since the mullahs spent it on defective weapons. The billions they gave the terrorists in Iran was solely and simply to destroy Israel and so far it hasn't worked.

Bibi, you have my permission to crush them to nuclear dust.

Don't discount the possibility of the Obiden administration feeding Iran real-time info on any Israeli attack.

And again I raise the practical engineering facts on "uranium bombs". The simplest and most likely to work would be the type used in our "Little Boy" bomb for Hiroshima. This type is very large and heavy. It is possible to make smaller weapons with uranium, but it takes a bunch more technology. The Pakistanis were able to build a number of working nuclear weapons, but online sources indicate that they use plutonium, a different technology from the Iranian uranium approach. Pakistanis succeeded in building a number of relatively small, deliverable nuclear weapons and medium range missiles for them, to balance against India's nuclear missiles. Although it would appear that the path Iran has chosen can easily make a few very large, very heavy bombs of the simplest types, it would seem that making smaller, more deliverable (by missile) weapons would still be another level of technology. But, India and Pakistan have succeeded in this, so saying that it would be impossible for Iran is not a good bet. And I wonder if Pakistani technology has been purchased by the Iranians to give them a short cut? Seems possible. Simple, large, heavy bombs are probably possible today for Iran. Smaller, lighter weapons is a question mark. Assuming that the mullahs wouldn't immediately seek to cause Armageddon when they reach the capabilty is not a safe bet. Their "12th imam" prophecy gives them a religious reason to seek death for everyone, not be deterred by normal "mutually assured destruction" logic.

How many times do we have to face blustering Arab leaders (Saddam Hussein? Muammar Muhammad Gaddafi? ...) before we realize they are all blustering playground bullies. Yes, we need to be concerned about the development of nuclear weapons but we should NOT let ourselves be held hostage by these fools. Trump brought Iran to their knees with sanctions. If Biden had not sold us out for his 10% and continued those sanctions, Iran would have collapsed by now. BTW, Russia is another example of a blustering bully. Putin is not as easily dismissed as the Arab countries but he is NOT world class either. It's time we played hardball with these fools and DUMP the UN as well.

All true, but it's conclusions rely on the idea that Muslims as a group are sane and rational.