Wall Street Seems to be Signaling a Trump Win
Posted By: Dreadnought, 10/24/2024 12:49:01 AM
Don't take my word for it, here's what the Wall Street Journal reported yesterday about how markets seem to be preparing for a Trump win. Some large hedge funds and money managers, sensing a potential shift in momentum, are getting behind trades that could pay out if Donald Trump beats Kamala Harris in the presidential election. While most polling still shows a tight race, that shift has rippled across markets in recent weeks, boosting assets seen as likely to benefit from a Republican victory. For instance, private-prison operator GEO Group is up 21% in October, on pace for its best month since 2022, while bitcoin miner Riot Platforms has risen 34%.
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Donald Trump could win the popular vote, the New York Times’s Nate Cohn wrote Friday, which would provide the former president with a mandate.
Cohn’s admission Trump could not only win the Electoral College vote but also claim the popular vote underscores the establishment media’s acknowledgment of Trump’s momentum with just 11 days until election.
The latest Time’s polling, published Friday, shows Trump is winning by one point nationally (with third party candidates included).
Cohn reported on the possibility of Trump winning the popular vote, which has not been won by a Republican in 20 years:
Kamala Harris lives in California and works in Washington, D.C. And over the past few days, California’s biggest newspaper and D.C’s biggest newspaper both decided to withhold their endorsements of her candidacy for president.
And they aren’t alone: In 2016, over 240 newspapers formally endorsed Hillary Clinton. (Only 20 endorsed the eventual winner, Donald Trump.)
Four years later, fewer than 14 endorsed Trump. That was an awfully big drop…
…but not nearly as big as the drop between the past two female Democratic candidates:
New York Times reporter, social media censorship supporter, and First Amendment non-fan Steven Lee Myers’ “news analysis” led Thursday’s front page: “Voters Strain Under Deluge Of Untruths -- Disinformation Climbs to a Sordid New Peak.”
And who’s responsible? The Russians, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, and Republicans in general.
Myers noted false claims from Russia about Gov. Tim Walz being spread on social media by a Florida deputy sheriff, then transitioned smoothly to blame “the world’s richest man, Elon Musk” for helping spread it. (Musk is a billionaire that the Times feels free to criticize, unlike George Soros, who the paper shields by accusing conservative critics of anti-Semitism.)
Former President Donald Trump called being president a “very dangerous business,” citing his two close calls with would-be assassins in a highly anticipated Joe Rogan interview that was released Friday night.
During his nearly three-hour appearance on “The Joe Rogan Experience” — which generated more than 350,000 views within 30 minutes of it going live — Trump repeatedly referred to the role of the presidency as a dangerous position, suggesting that pundits and officials don’t want to talk about the attempts on his life.
“I do things that don’t necessarily make me so popular. I just do what’s right,” the 78-year-old Republican presidential nominee said.
It was just a few weeks ago that we learned that Iran hacked the Trump campaign and leaked (rather anodyne) documents to the world's media.
More recently, we learned that China hacked our telecoms and got access to phone and internet taps that were created by our intelligence "community," and while the information put out suggested that the information they got was only from accounts that the federal government was watching, I had my doubts about that.
Now we learn that China has been going after (getting?) data from President Trump's and J.D. Vance's phones.
It's on. Almost a month after Iran attacked Israel with an estimated 200 ballistic missiles, the Israelis have begun their promised retaliatory strikes. Unlike the Iranian attack, the Israelis have apparently hit and destroyed several strategic targets, and the attack continues to unfold:
In a statement, the IDF says it is carrying out “precise strikes” on Iranian military targets, in response to “months of continuous attacks from the regime in Iran against the State of Israel.”
“The regime in Iran and its proxies in the region have been relentlessly attacking Israel since October 7th – on seven fronts – including direct attacks from Iranian soil,” the military says.
Kate Brown moved to Washington for politics. But on election week, she’s leaving town for the same reason.
“I just want to get the eff out of Dodge,” Brown told me recently. “I don’t feel like dealing with it.”
“It,” in this case, doesn’t mean the tension of working an election. Brown does marketing and communications for mostly libertarian policy wonks, and election week isn’t exactly a busy time for book talks and white papers. Instead, she’s worried about safety — though she can’t quite picture exactly what the threat looks like.
“I’m not entirely sure what’s going to happen,”
Israel fired an attack on Iran on Friday in retaliation for Tehran’s ballistic barrage of 200 rockets targeting the Jewish state last week, Fox News reported.
The Israel Defense Forces had pledged a “serious and significant” response to Iran’s attack, with Friday night’s strike serving as a rare and open direct assault on the Islamic Republic.
The Israeli attack all but ensured Iran’s direct involvement in the conflict between its terror proxies and the Jewish state, which world leaders fear could result in an all-out war in the Middle East.
Chinese government-linked hackers have targeted the phone communications of former President Donald Trump and vice presidential nominee JD Vance as part of a much broader cyber-espionage effort aimed at high-level US targets, two sources familiar with the matter told CNN.
The Chinese hackers also targeted people affiliated with the Harris-Walz campaign, another source familiar with the matter told CNN. Senior Biden administration officials were also targeted, one of the sources said.
US officials informed the Trump campaign this week that Trump and Vance were among a group of people whose phones were targeted by the Chinese hackers, one of the sources said. In a statement, Trump campaign spokesperson Steven Cheung
For the first time in 36 years the Washington Post will not be endorsing a candidate for president, the paper’s publisher announced on Friday in a move that shocked and angered some current and former staffers who have been critical of former president Donald Trump.
Publisher William Lewis announced the decision in an opinion piece on the organization’s website. Lewis said the Post is “returning to our roots of not endorsing presidential candidates,” repeatedly noting that the Post is an “independent newspaper.”
In his piece, Lewis quoted the paper’s editorial board in 1960, when it similarly explained that the paper wouldn’t be endorsing a presidential candidate.
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said Thursday on CNN’s “The Source” that she found it “so distressing” Americans would vote for former President Donald Trump. Clinton said, “Here we are. It’s 12 days before the election of the President of the United States of America. It’s absolutely bonkers that we are talking about what he might do to violate the law to punish his political opponents. I mean, this is so un-American. I’ve been around longer than you have, and I’ve agreed and disagreed with presidents, Democrats and Republicans over a lot of decades. I was on the impeachment inquiry staff that investigated President Nixon
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) announced Thursday that it had killed a Hamas commander who led the attack on dozens of civilians on October 7, 2023, who had fled the Nova music festival and hidden in roadside shelters.
In addition to being a mass murderer, the IDF said, Mohammad Abu Itiwi had also worked for the United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA). The IDF and Israel Security Agency (ISA, or Shabak, or Shin Bet) said in a statement:
Yesterday (Wednesday), in a joint IDF and ISA operation, the IAF struck
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Hillary Clinton says Trump is going to
Madison Square Garden to 'reenact' the
1939 Nazi rally 43 replies
Madison Square Garden to 'reenact' the
1939 Nazi rally 43 replies
Hillary Clinton is comparing Donald Trump's upcoming Madison Square Garden rally to the 1939 pro-Nazi event at the same iconic location.
Trump's 2016 Democratic rival is still out railing against him and warning Americans against giving him another term with just 12 days left until Election Day.
The former Secretary of State said Trump is seeking to 'reenact' the Nazi rally that took place in the New York City venue just over six months before the start of World War II.The video player is currently playing an ad. You can skip the ad in 5 sec with a mouse or keyboard
She was agreeing with former White House Chief of Staff John Kelly's
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said Thursday on CNN’s “The Source” that she found it “so distressing” Americans would vote for former President Donald Trump. Clinton said, “Here we are. It’s 12 days before the election of the President of the United States of America. It’s absolutely bonkers that we are talking about what he might do to violate the law to punish his political opponents. I mean, this is so un-American. I’ve been around longer than you have, and I’ve agreed and disagreed with presidents, Democrats and Republicans over a lot of decades. I was on the impeachment inquiry staff that investigated President Nixon
I’m concerned about Mika Brzezinski’s mental health and I am not even kidding. We recently covered one of her anti-Trump on the air meltdowns and it was so over the top that it was a little bit funny. [Snip] MIKA BRZEZINSKI: As important as Trump’s fascism is--and is the lead story every day--his cozying up to dictators, his obsession with Hitler that has now come out, what he has said about our veterans, and what he wants to do with the military against his political adversaries. It’s all huge news! [Snip] I’m talking about us women, he’s killing us!
For the first time in 36 years the Washington Post will not be endorsing a candidate for president, the paper’s publisher announced on Friday in a move that shocked and angered some current and former staffers who have been critical of former president Donald Trump.
Publisher William Lewis announced the decision in an opinion piece on the organization’s website. Lewis said the Post is “returning to our roots of not endorsing presidential candidates,” repeatedly noting that the Post is an “independent newspaper.”
In his piece, Lewis quoted the paper’s editorial board in 1960, when it similarly explained that the paper wouldn’t be endorsing a presidential candidate.
On Wednesday night, another “October Surprise” story against Donald Trump dropped, and like the others, it doesn’t pass the smell test.
According to the story, which The Guardian published, a former model named Stacey Williams, “who says she met Donald Trump through the late sexual abuser Jeffrey Epstein... has accused the former president of groping and sexually touching her in an incident in Trump Tower in 1993, in what she believed was a ‘twisted game’ between the two men.”
It was curious that after it broke, I couldn’t find any domestic media outlets that had picked it up.
There’s plenty of debate over whether Virginia is truly in play for 2024, but one thing is certain: multiple polls have shown the race neck-and-neck within the margin of error. The possibility that Donald Trump could flip Virginia may well have been a factor in Joe Biden’s exit from the race. Sure, there have been polls showing Kamala Harris with a formidable lead there as well, but in the end, we won't know until after Election Day.
One promising sign that Virginia was looking good for Trump was Gov. Glenn Youngkin's executive order ordering that all votes for the 2024 presidential election be cast by paper ballot,
Barron Trump gushed about his father and said he and his siblings will 'never come close' to Donald's achievements, according to conservative pundit Patrick Bet David.
Bet David, 45, a businessman and podcaster, shared a clip of him speaking at the Sales Leadership Summit 2024, claiming Barron said his billionaire father had a 'hard life.'
He also revealed the moment he was impressed with the former president's son, saying he was amazed by Barron's polite demeanor despite his privileged upbringing.
'The more I spend time with Baron Trump, the more impressed I am with him. Most interesting 18-year-old I've met,' Bet David said.
Vice President Kamala Harris brought in some of the biggest political and entertainment superstars in the world Thursday night for a rally in Georgia.
But after hours waiting in line and standing in the sun, hundreds of fans headed for the exit before the Democratic presidential nominee’s remarks.
Harris appeared on stage with former President Obama for the first time in the 2024 campaign season with the rally in the suburbs of the critical swing state.The video player is currently playing an ad.
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A win in Georgia is critical for either Harris or Trump on the path to winning what could be one of the closest presidential elections
Keith Olbermann Calls for Elon Musk’s
‘Immediate’ Arrest: ‘Lock Him Away
in a Military Facility’ 16 replies
‘Immediate’ Arrest: ‘Lock Him Away
in a Military Facility’ 16 replies
Former sports anchor Keith Olbermann called for the “immediate” arrest of Elon Musk in an unhinged X rant on Thursday, bizarrely claiming the SpaceX CEO — who has endorsed former President Donald Trump in the 2024 election — is “operating on behalf of Russia,” and demanding that President Joe Biden “lock him away in a military facility — now.”
“We need to arrest and detain @elonmusk [Musk] immediately,” Olbermann declared in a Thursday night X post. (X) “He is operating on behalf of Russia,” Olbermann added — without evidence — in an apparent nod to the “Russia collusion” hoax commonly regurgitated by the political left.
‘I Worked For John Kelly And Don’t
Believe Him’: No One’s Buying Atlantic
‘Trump Loves Hitler’ Smear 16 replies
Believe Him’: No One’s Buying Atlantic
‘Trump Loves Hitler’ Smear 16 replies
The Atlantic’s “Trump loves Hitler” hit-piece hit a snag as several people who worked alongside — and for — retired Marine General John Kelly have come out to publicly dispute his claims.
In the article that was published on Tuesday, Kelly was quoted as saying that Trump had often praised “the German generals,” and when asked to clarify, had told Kelly he wanted the kind of generals that Hitler had. Kelly also claimed that Trump had praised Hitler for doing “some good things” like rebuilding the German economy after World War I.
But according to a few who worked either alongside or for Kelly in the Trump White House —
The Biden administration has considered creating a new “information czar” for national security to combat foreign disinformation operations about elections and other issues, according to White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan.
Asked about creating such a post on the National Security Council on Thursday, Mr. Sullivan said the idea has been a topic of debate throughout the intelligence and defense agencies.
Mr. Sullivan gave an audience at the National Defense University a rare glimpse inside the hidden debate about how to police foreign speech that the U.S. government finds abhorrent. “I think on the ’czar’ [proposal], that’s something we’ve been grappling with and thinking about across the national security enterprise,”
Lancaster County officials announced an investigation Friday after election workers found some 2,500 voter applications they suspect are fraudulent.
Two batches of applications were dropped off last minute at the county elections office to meet Pennsylvania’s Oct. 21 voter-registration deadline, officials reported at a Friday news conference.
District Attorney Heather Adams said investigators found problems with 60% of the voter-registration forms they’ve reviewed so far, including incorrect addresses, false identification information, false names and names that don’t match Social Security information.
“Staff noticed that numerous applications appeared to have the same handwriting [and] were filled out on the same day,” Adams said.