Posts on Monday, June 29, 2026

In an ordinary midterm congressional election, the usual outcome is that the President’s party loses seats in the House of Representatives. If history repeats itself in November, the Democrats may well flip enough seats to overcome the razor thin Republican majority and take control of the House. But there is reason to believe that the GOP will defy history in the upcoming midterms because it won the 2025-2026 “redistricting war,” the struggle between red and blue states to gain an edge by engaging in mid-decade redrawing of their congressional districts.